Live results — 2.77 profit factor

What this shape means. Roughly three trades in four end in profit — 73.6% — and 258 of them (25.0%) ran further than the risk taken. When a trade does lose, it closes at the stop: the loss is capped at the amount set before the trade opened, which is why the average loss is -0.91R rather than something larger. No trade in this record lost more than the stop it was given.

The average win (+0.90R) and the average loss (-0.91R) are close to the same size, so the edge comes from being right more often than wrong rather than from occasional large winners. That makes the win rate the number that carries this record — and it is published here every day, so you can watch it yourself.

The spread is deducted. Each trade is charged its pair’s typical spread, because you buy at the ask and sell at the bid. Gross +11,916 pips − 1,508 of spread = +10,408 net. Every figure above uses the net number.

Results are in R. One R is the risk taken on that trade. A 40-pip win on GBPJPY and a 40-pip win on EURUSD are not the same trade, so pips are not comparable and R is.

Returns are not compounded. +437% assumes a fixed 1% of the starting balance on every trade. Compounding the same record would show a far larger figure that nobody should believe — it would assume trades never overlap, that every single one was taken, and that position size scales perfectly with the account.

Slippage is not modelled. Fills are measured from the published entry price. A real account will sometimes do slightly worse, particularly around news.

This is 1,031 trades over about five months. Enough to be meaningful, not enough to be a law. Every trade was published before its outcome was known and none has been edited since — the full list is below.

One footnote on the numbering. Signal IDs are not consecutive across April and May 2026, because we were still building the service and test entries consumed IDs alongside the live ones. Those were never sent to anyone. Nothing has been removed from the record: the live stream in those months is denser than the months with no gaps at all, and the gaps stop entirely from June, which is not what removing trades would look like.